Mithrandir Metrics
Player St. Louis Cardinals Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals

Pedro Pagés

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 245 lb · Age 27

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club St. Louis Cardinals Position C Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024218194872.238.281.376.657
20253893883110.230.272.363.635
2026160133142.212.250.336.586
3 Seasons76770162224.228.270.361.631
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
29
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
30
Defense6 metrics
75
Speed1 metrics
10
Plate skills10 metrics
50
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.286
xwOBA current pace0.270
xwOBA rolling p500.279
Observed weight44%
xwOBA
0.248 0.263 0.279 0.296 0.311
wOBA
0.231 0.252 0.275 0.298 0.318
ISO
0.106 0.124 0.143 0.163 0.181
K%
22.7% 24.3% 26.0% 27.7% 29.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.5%
26
Exit velocity84.7
15
Hard-hit%37.3%
43
xBA0.309
35
xSLG0.488
42
xwOBA0.270
16
BB%3.5%
6
Bat speed69.5
47
K%24.9%
37
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
58
Catcher Throwing2.1 · C
93
Framing Runs2.2 · C
70
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
65
Pop Time1.9 · C
78
Range Runs0.1 · C
83
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · C
10
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.7% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.2% · rebadged research
31
Correct Decisions63.0% · rebadged research
21
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
77
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
88
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
98
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315 · validated
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.376 · validated
14
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
21
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Pagés, Pedro · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.270 2026-07-07: 0.2742026-07-08: 0.2782026-07-09: 0.2782026-07-10: 0.2722026-07-11: 0.2722026-07-12: 0.2702026-07-13: 0.2702026-07-14: 0.2702026-07-15: 0.2702026-07-16: 0.2702026-07-17: 0.2702026-07-18: 0.270 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

103 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Pagés, Pedro · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsPull 17%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsOppo 16% LF 336 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -1.02026-03-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 79.6 / LA -10.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · popup · EV 79.5 / LA 65.02026-03-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA -52.02026-03-17 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 6.02026-03-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 45.02026-03-21 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 46.8 / LA -19.02026-03-21 · force out · ST · line_drive · EV 79.4 / LA 25.02026-03-26 · field out · ST · popup · EV 62.1 / LA 53.02026-03-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA 0.02026-03-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 52.02026-03-26 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.4 / LA 3.02026-03-29 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 31.02026-03-29 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 8.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 25.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -4.02026-03-30 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -13.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 58.4 / LA -59.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -3.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -35.02026-04-05 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 71.9 / LA 20.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.4 / LA 9.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 30.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.9 / LA -45.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 46.02026-04-10 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 20.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 25.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 8.02026-04-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA -42.02026-04-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 5.02026-04-13 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 46.02026-04-13 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 51.02026-04-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 5.02026-04-15 · field out · FC · popup · EV 85.5 / LA 63.02026-04-15 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 40.0 / LA -84.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 15.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 57.2 / LA -27.02026-04-17 · double · SV · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 14.02026-04-17 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.9 / LA -6.02026-04-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 58.02026-04-19 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 75.7 / LA 28.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 75.0 / LA 52.02026-04-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 57.9 / LA -48.02026-04-21 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 36.02026-04-21 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -30.02026-04-22 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 62.3 / LA 32.02026-04-22 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 34.02026-04-25 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 73.7 / LA 22.02026-04-25 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 24.02026-04-25 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 10.02026-04-27 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 28.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -28.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 46.02026-04-28 · single · ST · popup · EV 64.4 / LA 38.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA 4.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA -46.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 31.02026-04-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 65.9 / LA -58.02026-04-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 85.8 / LA 19.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 44.02026-05-01 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA -4.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 21.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 22.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA -1.02026-05-04 · field out · SL · popup · EV 69.0 / LA 42.02026-05-06 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA -2.02026-05-06 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 49.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA -21.02026-05-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 46.02026-05-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -28.02026-05-09 · field out · ST · popup · EV 85.3 / LA 66.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 3.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -18.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 88.0 / LA 12.02026-05-13 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 23.7 / LA 22.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 41.02026-05-13 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 67.8 / LA 41.02026-05-15 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -18.02026-05-15 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 40.1 / LA -70.02026-05-15 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 22.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 48.02026-05-16 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -21.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.5 / LA -2.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 46.02026-05-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 1.02026-05-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.2 / LA -34.02026-05-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA -16.02026-05-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 78.5 / LA 23.02026-05-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 9.02026-05-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 72.9 / LA 46.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball2026-05-23 · field out · SL · popup · EV 96.3 / LA 66.02026-05-25 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 65.3 / LA 28.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 26.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 9.02026-05-27 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 22.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 37.02026-05-31 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 23.2 / LA -17.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 59.02026-06-18 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 81.3 / LA 11.02026-06-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -17.02026-06-18 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 15.02026-06-18 · field out · FC · popup · EV 76.1 / LA 58.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Pagés, Pedro · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 39%39%Whiff: 26%26%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 74%74%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 11"
Weight245 lb
Debut2024-04-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.013
wOBA Δ-0.009

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.275
xwOBA (deserved)0.270

Pagés’s wOBA sits at 0.275, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.270 — a gap of 0.004, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 173 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.284 xwOBA | 13 HRProjection
2026-04-17 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 1 E1-4 | 2B, R
2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E1-3 | RBI, SB
2026-04-13 vs CLE0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-3 | RBI
2026-04-11 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-2
2026-04-07 @ WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 1 E0-2 | BB, K