Mithrandir Metrics
Player St. Louis Cardinals Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals

Pedro Pagés

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 245 lb · Age 27

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club St. Louis Cardinals Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024218194872.238.281.376.657
20253893883110.230.272.363.635
2026198133842.212.263.313.576
3 Seasons80570169224.228.272.354.626
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
28
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
30
Defense6 metrics
68
Speed1 metrics
9
Plate skills11 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-05
xwOBA preseason0.286
xwOBA current pace0.267
xwOBA rolling p500.277
Observed weight49%
xwOBA
0.247 0.261 0.277 0.292 0.306
wOBA
0.232 0.251 0.272 0.292 0.311
ISO
0.097 0.113 0.131 0.149 0.165
K%
23.1% 24.6% 26.2% 27.9% 29.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.8%
21 -20 vs proj
Exit velocity84.8
17
Hard-hit%36.4%
41
xBA0.305
34
xSLG0.464
35
xwOBA0.267
17
BB%5.2%
15
Bat speed70.1
57
K%25.5%
36 -17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
45
Catcher Throwing1.8 · C
77
Framing Runs2.8 · C
77
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
67
Pop Time1.9 · C
78
Range Runs0.1 · C
64
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.4 · C
9
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-05
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.9% · rebadged research
37
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.9% · rebadged research
53
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
39
Mithrandir Stuff+71
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
51
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
74
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.254 · validated thin sample
94
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318 · validated
86
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377 · validated
14
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
39
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Pagés, Pedro · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.267 2026-08-25: 0.2702026-08-26: 0.2702026-08-27: 0.2722026-08-28: 0.2672026-08-29: 0.2672026-08-30: 0.2672026-08-31: 0.2672026-09-01: 0.2672026-09-02: 0.2672026-09-03: 0.2672026-09-04: 0.2672026-09-05: 0.267 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 69%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Pagés, Pedro · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 36%36%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pagés, Pedro · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 68.8%Curveball: 25.0%Changeup: 6.2% SL69% · 50 mphprimary pitch SL 69%CU 25%CH 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pagés, Pedro · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Slider: 69% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 8″ drop, 49.8 mphSL50 mphCurveball: 25% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 9″ drop, 48.0 mphCU48 mphChangeup: 6% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 4″ drop, 65.0 mphCH65 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 100.0% 8 71 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 11"
Weight245 lb
Debut2024-04-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.017
wOBA Δ-0.012

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.272
xwOBA (deserved)0.267

Pagés’s wOBA sits at 0.272, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.267 — a gap of 0.005, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 212 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.284 xwOBA | 13 HRProjection
2026-08-15 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K
2026-04-17 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 1 E1-4 | 2B, R
2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E1-3 | RBI, SB
2026-04-13 vs CLE0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-3 | RBI
2026-04-11 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-2