Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Dodgers Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers

Dalton Rushing

C · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 220 lb · Age 25

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Dodgers Position C Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2025155152940.204.258.324.582
20262083046100.250.332.467.799
2 Seasons3634575140.230.300.405.705
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
76
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
69
Defense6 metrics
37
Speed2 metrics
53
Plate skills10 metrics
37
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.270
xwOBA current pace0.339
xwOBA rolling p500.305
Observed weight50%
xwOBA
0.262 0.282 0.305 0.327 0.348
wOBA
0.354 0.374 0.396 0.418 0.438
ISO
0.134 0.156 0.181 0.206 0.228
K%
23.9% 26.3% 28.9% 31.6% 33.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
79
Exit velocity89.2
63
Hard-hit%44.9%
75 +24 vs proj
xBA0.357
82
xSLG0.604
78
xwOBA0.339
77 +41 vs proj
BB%11.2%
77 +46 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
64
K%26.3%
29 +23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.4 · C
27
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
62
Framing Runs-3.3 · C
19
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · C
21
Pop Time1.9 · C
71
Range Runs-0.6 · C
25
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · C
59
Sprint Speed27.3 · C
48
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.9% · rebadged research
31
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions65.5% · rebadged research
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
60
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
91
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
27
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Rushing, Dalton · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.339 2026-07-07: 0.3422026-07-08: 0.3442026-07-09: 0.3442026-07-10: 0.3442026-07-11: 0.3442026-07-12: 0.3392026-07-13: 0.3372026-07-14: 0.3392026-07-15: 0.3392026-07-16: 0.3392026-07-17: 0.3392026-07-18: 0.339 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

86 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Rushing, Dalton · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 69% of plotted batted ballsCenter 69%Right field third: 21% of plotted batted ballsOppo 21% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA 4.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 8.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 44.02026-03-17 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 28.02026-03-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 9.02026-03-23 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 108.7 / LA 13.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 23.02026-03-30 · field out · CU · popup · EV 84.0 / LA 66.02026-03-30 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 30.5 / LA 37.02026-04-05 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 31.02026-04-05 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA 1.02026-04-06 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 15.02026-04-06 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 10.02026-04-06 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 28.02026-04-06 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 109.0 / LA 23.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 46.02026-04-12 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 12.02026-04-15 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 3.02026-04-15 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 33.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 35.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · popup · EV 88.4 / LA 71.02026-04-18 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 43.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.3 / LA 3.02026-04-20 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 28.02026-04-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 31.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · popup · EV 45.4 / LA 48.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA 5.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 42.02026-04-23 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 55.02026-04-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 86.2 / LA 14.02026-04-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 82.6 / LA 14.02026-04-25 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 46.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · popup · EV 81.6 / LA 83.02026-04-26 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 3.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 13.02026-04-28 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 0.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 49.2 / LA -50.02026-04-28 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA -11.02026-04-29 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 76.8 / LA 23.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 88.5 / LA 24.02026-05-03 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA -14.02026-05-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.3 / LA 27.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 54.3 / LA -73.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 35.02026-05-06 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.5 / LA -47.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 8.02026-05-06 · field out · EP · popup · EV 65.7 / LA 89.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.5 / LA -3.02026-05-06 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 73.5 / LA -54.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 57.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 33.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 8.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 9.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -21.02026-05-16 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 45.6 / LA -51.02026-05-17 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 3.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 36.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.8 / LA 61.02026-05-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 11.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 62.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.9 / LA 20.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 54.6 / LA -82.02026-05-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 11.02026-05-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA -30.02026-05-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 49.6 / LA 35.02026-05-31 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 94.5 / LA 15.02026-05-31 · field out · CU · popup · EV 81.0 / LA 77.02026-05-31 · field out · FS · popup · EV 90.6 / LA 74.02026-06-04 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 72.3 / LA 42.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 93.2 / LA 16.02026-06-07 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 24.02026-06-07 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 25.02026-06-07 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 108.1 / LA 8.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 16.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 22.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 44.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 52.02026-06-22 · field out · FC · popup · EV 88.4 / LA 66.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.3 / LA 74.02026-06-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 51.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · popup · EV 61.3 / LA 56.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 37.02026-06-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 9.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.5 / LA 45.02026-06-30 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 40.02026-06-30 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 66.6 / LA -38.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Rushing, Dalton · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 29%29%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 71%71%Hard hit: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 0"
Weight220 lb
Debut2025-05-15
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.045
wOBA Δ+0.102

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.396
xwOBA (deserved)0.339

Rushing’s wOBA sits at 0.396, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.339 — a gap of 0.058, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 224 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

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Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-07-02Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 8 HRProjection
2026-04-20 @ COL2 HR | 3 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2 HR, 2 K, 3 RBI
2026-04-15 vs NYM1 HR | 4 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, 2B, 2 K
2026-04-12 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2B, 2 K, R
2026-04-06 @ TOR2 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E4-4 | 2 HR, HBP, 2 RBI
2026-04-05 @ WSH1 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HR, K, 2 RBI