Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2025-05-15 |
C · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 220 lb · Age 25
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 155 | 15 | 29 | 4 | 0 | .204 | .258 | .324 | .582 |
| 2026 | 208 | 30 | 46 | 10 | 0 | .250 | .332 | .467 | .799 |
| 2 Seasons | 363 | 45 | 75 | 14 | 0 | .230 | .300 | .405 | .705 |
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.270 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.339 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
100th = best in MLB.
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
86 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2025-05-15 |
| xwOBA Δ | +0.045 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.102 |
negative regression
Rushing’s wOBA sits at 0.396, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.339 — a gap of 0.058, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 224 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.72 | Bat speedIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Lowe, Brandon PIT · L | 0.72 | In-zone contactStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R | 0.68 | Walk rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Adames, Willy SF · R | 0.67 | Bat speedGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-07-02 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ COL2 HR | 3 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2 HR, 2 K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs NYM1 HR | 4 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 2B, 2 K |
| 2026-04-12 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, 2 K, R |
| 2026-04-06 @ TOR2 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 4-4 | 2 HR, HBP, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-05 @ WSH1 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HR, K, 2 RBI |