Mithrandir Metrics
Player Minnesota Twins Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Minnesota Twins

Connor Prielipp

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 210 lb · Age 25

Cards
14
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Minnesota Twins Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2026375.551919099.01061.39
1 Seasons375.551919099.01061.39
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
42
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
43
Arsenal6 metrics
64
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.42
33
ERA5.57
17
BB%9.0%
48
K%24.6%
68
xwOBA allowed0.317
44
Barrel allowed7.6%
49
Fastball velo95.4
66
Hard-hit allowed42.4%
22
Whiff%21.5%
39
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Fastball Stuff+101
43
Mithrandir Stuff+104
67
Slider Stuff+106
83
Changeup Stuff+102
46
Curveball Stuff+106
95
Sinker Stuff+102
51
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Prielipp, Connor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.317 2026-08-21: 0.3182026-08-22: 0.3182026-08-23: 0.3182026-08-24: 0.3182026-08-25: 0.3192026-08-26: 0.3192026-08-27: 0.3172026-08-28: 0.3172026-08-29: 0.3172026-08-30: 0.3172026-08-31: 0.3172026-09-01: 0.317 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Prielipp, Connor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Prielipp, Connor · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 29.9%4-Seam Fastball: 27.4%Curveball: 17.4%Sinker: 14.6%Changeup: 10.7% SL30% · 88 mphprimary pitch SL 30%FF 27%CU 17%SI 15%CH 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Prielipp, Connor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Slider: 30% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 87.6 mphSL88 mph4-Seam Fastball: 27% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 95.6 mphFF96 mphCurveball: 17% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 48″ drop, 82.8 mphCU83 mphSinker: 15% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 95.1 mphSI95 mphChangeup: 11% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 86.6 mphCH87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 32.7% 314 106 qualified
FB 27.3% 262 101 qualified
CB 16.6% 159 106 limited sample
CH 11.9% 114 102 limited sample
SI 11.5% 110 102 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 2"
Weight210 lb
Debut2026-04-22
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.346
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.317

Prielipp’s wOBA-against sits at 0.346, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.317 — a gap of 0.029, 1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 97 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching142026-08-26Slider played up through SL/SI tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-08-15 vs PHI8 ER / 6 K5.0 IP