Mithrandir Metrics
Player Albuquerque Isotopes Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Albuquerque Isotopes

Jordan Beck

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 227 lb · Age 25

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Albuquerque Isotopes Position LF Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024184143237.188.245.276.521
2025588621391619.258.317.416.733
20268871512.183.227.305.532
3 Seasons860831862028.235.292.374.666
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
21
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
27
Defense2 metrics
39
Speed1 metrics
73
Plate skills10 metrics
59
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.308
xwOBA current pace0.260
xwOBA rolling p500.292
Observed weight34%
xwOBA
0.258 0.274 0.292 0.310 0.326
wOBA
0.276 0.303 0.333 0.363 0.390
ISO
0.112 0.135 0.159 0.184 0.206
K%
24.6% 26.4% 28.4% 30.3% 32.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
18 -37 vs proj
Exit velocity85.6
22
Hard-hit%29.7%
14 -40 vs proj
xBA0.308
33
xSLG0.438
25
xwOBA0.260
11 -29 vs proj
BB%5.4%
16 -19 vs proj
Bat speed71.4
75
K%26.8%
28
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength91.3 · LF
33
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Arm Runs-1.6 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.2 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
73
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.0% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.6% · rebadged research
87
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
55
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
62
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
68
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
72
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
90
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
36
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Beck, Jordan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.260 2026-07-07: 0.2602026-07-08: 0.2602026-07-09: 0.2602026-07-10: 0.2602026-07-11: 0.2602026-07-12: 0.2602026-07-13: 0.2602026-07-14: 0.2602026-07-15: 0.2602026-07-16: 0.2602026-07-17: 0.2602026-07-18: 0.260 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

75 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Beck, Jordan · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsOppo 19% LF 347 CF 415 RF 350 2026-03-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 47.02026-03-15 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 22.02026-03-17 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 79.0 / LA 22.02026-03-17 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 27.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA 2.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -3.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -28.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 59.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 93.5 / LA 70.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA -7.02026-03-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 72.2 / LA 19.02026-03-23 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 25.02026-03-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 86.3 / LA 27.02026-03-24 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 17.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -8.02026-03-27 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA -8.02026-03-27 · field out · FC · popup · EV 93.3 / LA 66.02026-03-29 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 2.02026-03-29 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 41.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA -2.02026-03-30 · field out · EP · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA 15.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 50.02026-03-30 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 81.4 / LA -8.02026-03-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 44.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 32.02026-04-01 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -5.02026-04-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 64.4 / LA 43.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.1 / LA -45.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 43.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 71.1 / LA 45.02026-04-07 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -23.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 40.02026-04-07 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 1.02026-04-10 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 76.5 / LA 16.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 59.8 / LA -41.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 18.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.1 / LA -6.02026-04-14 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.6 / LA 23.02026-04-14 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 31.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA -19.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 36.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA -2.02026-04-15 · field out · ST · popup · EV 85.5 / LA 77.02026-04-18 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 25.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · popup · EV 76.8 / LA 78.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.1 / LA 6.02026-04-20 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 8.02026-04-20 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 1.02026-04-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 53.0 / LA 23.02026-04-20 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 31.02026-04-20 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 6.02026-04-21 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 67.3 / LA -18.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 57.1 / LA -56.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 78.9 / LA 53.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -21.02026-04-28 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 74.3 / LA 21.02026-04-29 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.2 / LA -8.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 43.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 18.02026-04-29 · field out · EP · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 1.02026-04-30 · single · CU · ground_ball2026-04-30 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 35.02026-05-02 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 12.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 60.9 / LA -56.02026-05-04 · triple · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 28.02026-05-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 81.8 / LA 0.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · popup · EV 82.4 / LA 73.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · popup · EV 35.9 / LA 64.02026-05-10 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 58.3 / LA -65.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 90.3 / LA 18.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 34.02026-05-12 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 88.5 / LA 13.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 47.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 90.3 / LA 19.02026-05-14 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 14.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Beck, Jordan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 39%39%Whiff: 29%29%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 71%71%Hard hit: 30%30% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 2"
Weight227 lb
Debut2024-04-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.037
wOBA Δ+0.036

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.333
xwOBA (deserved)0.260

Beck’s wOBA sits at 0.333, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.260 — a gap of 0.073, -1.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 112 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 15 HRProjection
2026-04-20 vs LAD0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E3-4 | 2B, RBI, R
2026-04-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K
2026-04-14 @ HOU1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E2-5 | HR, K, RBI
2026-04-12 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-04-11 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K