Mithrandir Metrics
Player Arizona Diamondbacks Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks

Tommy Troy

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 197 lb · Age 24

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Arizona Diamondbacks Position LF Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026134222741.223.299.364.663
1 Seasons134222741.223.299.364.663
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
46
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
45
Defense4 metrics
44
Speed2 metrics
94
Plate skills10 metrics
49
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.245
xwOBA current pace0.317
xwOBA rolling p500.272
Observed weight38%
xwOBA
0.224 0.247 0.272 0.297 0.320
wOBA
0.258 0.282 0.309 0.335 0.360
ISO
0.085 0.107 0.131 0.155 0.177
K%
15.8% 19.9% 24.6% 29.2% 33.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
74 +33 vs proj
Exit velocity83.8
9
Hard-hit%31.1%
18 -29 vs proj
xBA0.320
49
xSLG0.554
65
xwOBA0.317
61 +18 vs proj
BB%9.6%
63 +36 vs proj
Bat speed67.4
22
K%23.0%
46
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · LF
72
Arm Strength87.0 · LF
9
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Range Runs0.3 · LF
48
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts29.0 · LF
89
Sprint Speed30.1 · LF
99
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.9% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
31
Correct Decisions68.7% · rebadged research
76
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
60
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · insufficient sample
22
Resists FastballwOBA 0.397 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
48
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Troy, Tommy · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.317 2026-07-07: 0.3102026-07-08: 0.3052026-07-09: 0.3052026-07-10: 0.3122026-07-11: 0.3172026-07-12: 0.3172026-07-13: 0.3172026-07-14: 0.3172026-07-15: 0.3172026-07-16: 0.3172026-07-17: 0.3172026-07-18: 0.317 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

39 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Troy, Tommy · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 5% of plotted batted ballsPull 5%Center field third: 79% of plotted batted ballsCenter 79%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-05-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 13.02026-05-24 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 21.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA -1.02026-05-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 36.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.9 / LA 46.02026-05-25 · field error · FC · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 6.02026-05-25 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 66.6 / LA 25.02026-05-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 7.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 66.0 / LA -12.02026-05-27 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 1.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 39.02026-06-01 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 30.8 / LA -33.02026-06-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 29.02026-06-01 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -15.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 56.02026-06-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.5 / LA 10.02026-06-05 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 5.02026-06-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -14.02026-06-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 44.8 / LA -12.02026-06-05 · field out · FC · popup · EV 88.6 / LA 86.02026-06-07 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 55.2 / LA -37.02026-06-07 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 33.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.0 / LA -10.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 50.3 / LA -43.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.2 / LA -35.02026-06-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 11.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA -29.02026-06-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 48.3 / LA -70.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 89.0 / LA 21.02026-06-22 · field out · ST · popup · EV 78.0 / LA 88.02026-06-22 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.9 / LA 26.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 18.02026-06-24 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 21.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 65.5 / LA -11.02026-06-24 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 67.9 / LA 38.02026-06-26 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -4.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.1 / LA -6.02026-07-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.8 / LA 10.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -13.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Troy, Tommy · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 23%23%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 77%77%Hard hit: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height5' 9"
Weight197 lb
Debut2026-05-24
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.017
wOBA Δ+0.008

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.309
xwOBA (deserved)0.317

Troy’s wOBA sits at 0.309, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.317 — a gap of 0.009, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 135 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

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No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.301 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection