Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 197 lb |
| Debut | 2026-05-24 |
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks
Tommy Troy
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 197 lb · Age 24
Club Arizona Diamondbacks
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 141 | 22 | 28 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .293 | .354 | .647 |
| 1 Seasons | 141 | 22 | 28 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .293 | .354 | .647 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
44
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.245 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.270 |
| Observed weight | 39% |
xwOBA
0.223
0.245
0.270
0.295
0.317
wOBA
0.254
0.277
0.303
0.329
0.353
ISO
0.083
0.105
0.128
0.152
0.174
K%
15.7%
19.7%
24.3%
28.8%
32.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
72
+30 vs proj
Exit velocity83.3
9
Hard-hit%30.5%
18
-31 vs proj
xBA0.315
46
xSLG0.539
62
xwOBA0.309
55
BB%9.2%
58
+29 vs proj
Bat speed67.1
22
K%23.2%
48
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · LF
69
Arm Strength87.0 · LF
8
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
24
Range Runs0.6 · LF
52
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts29.0 · LF
82
Sprint Speed30.1 · LF
99
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8% · rebadged research
73
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1% · rebadged research
41
Correct Decisions68.1% · rebadged research
71
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
69
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
48
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
22
Resists FastballwOBA 0.397 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
44 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.008 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.003 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Troy’s wOBA sits at 0.303, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.309 — a gap of 0.006, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 142 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 2 | 2026-09-07 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.614 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.301 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |