Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Rhett Lowder

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
12
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.20
ERA current pace5.40
ERA rolling p504.15
Observed weight43%
ERA
2.53 3.29 4.15 5.00 5.77
FIP
2.21 2.99 3.86 4.72 5.50
K%
13.9% 15.9% 18.0% 20.1% 22.1%
BB%
6.7% 7.7% 8.9% 10.0% 11.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%9.9%
34
Barrel allowed7.8%
49 -22 vs proj
Fastball velo92.7
25
Hard-hit allowed43.0%
29
K%16.5%
13 -34 vs proj
Whiff%17.8%
12 -28 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.350
18 -26 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+104
71
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Lowder, Rhett · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3512026-05-19: 0.3512026-05-21: 0.3512026-05-23: 0.3512026-05-24: 0.3512026-05-25: 0.3502026-05-26: 0.3502026-05-28: 0.3502026-05-29: 0.3502026-05-30: 0.3502026-05-31: 0.3502026-06-01: 0.350 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Lowder, Rhett · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 18%18%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lowder, Rhett · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 30.4%Slider: 24.5%4-Seam Fastball: 23.5%Changeup: 21.5% MIX SI 30%SL 25%FF 24%CH 22% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lowder, Rhett · 2026 arsenal snapshot SI: HB -0.0, IVB 2.1SISL: HB -0.0, IVB 3.2SLFF: HB -0.4, IVB 1.5FFCH: HB -0.9, IVB 3.1CH horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 29.6% 193 107 limited sample
SL 25.0% 163 104 limited sample
FB 23.8% 155 99 limited sample
CH 21.5% 140 105 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height6' 1"
Weight200 lb
Debut2024-08-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.30
K% Δ-0.053

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching122026-05-07Changeup played up through SL/FF tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.8% K | 4.10 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 @ TB1 ER / 3 K6.0 IP
2026-04-15 vs SF3 ER / 4 K6.2 IP
2026-04-09 @ MIA4 ER / 2 K5.1 IP
2026-04-04 @ TEX0 ER / 4 K6.0 IP
2026-03-29 vs BOS2 ER / 5 K5.0 IP