Mithrandir Metrics
Player Chicago White Sox Refreshed Oct 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Chicago White Sox

Hagen Smith

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 235 lb · Age 23

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Chicago White Sox Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2026331.29181028.0410.96
1 Seasons331.29181028.0410.96
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-16
76
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
79
Arsenal4 metrics
60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.05
89
ERA1.29
99
BB%16.8%
1
K%34.9%
99
xwOBA allowed0.262
94
Barrel allowed1.4%
100
Fastball velo94.1
45
Hard-hit allowed34.3%
81
Whiff%35.5%
99
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-10-16
Cutter Stuff+105
87
Fastball Stuff+102
49
Mithrandir Stuff+103
62
Slider Stuff+101
44
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Smith, Hagen · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.262 2026-10-05: 0.2472026-10-06: 0.2472026-10-07: 0.2472026-10-08: 0.2512026-10-09: 0.2622026-10-10: 0.2622026-10-11: 0.2622026-10-12: 0.2622026-10-13: 0.2622026-10-14: 0.2622026-10-15: 0.2622026-10-16: 0.262 2026-10-05 2026-10-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Smith, Hagen · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 35%35%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Smith, Hagen · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 47.6%Slider: 30.0%Cutter: 20.1%Changeup: 2.2% FF48% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 48%SL 30%FC 20%CH 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Smith, Hagen · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 48% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 94.1 mphFF94 mphSlider: 30% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 83.2 mphSL83 mphCutter: 20% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 88.7 mphFC89 mphChangeup: 2% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 87.6 mphCH88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 49.4% 128 102 limited sample
SL 32.4% 84 101 limited sample
FC 15.8% 41 105 limited sample
CH 2.3% 6 117 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height6' 3"
Weight235 lb
Debut2026-08-09
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.238
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.262

Smith’s wOBA-against sits at 0.238, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.262 — a gap of 0.023, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 37 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching52026-10-08Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.6% K | 4.51 ERAProjection