Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Bradgley Rodriguez

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 160 lb · Age 22

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025101.177007.290.91
2026222.18383041.1381.14
2 Seasons322.02453049.0471.10
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
71
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
80
Arsenal5 metrics
84
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
ERA preseason3.37
ERA current pace2.23
ERA rolling p502.87
Observed weight44%
ERA
0.94 1.85 2.87 3.89 4.80
FIP
1.85 2.60 3.44 4.27 5.03
K%
17.9% 20.3% 22.8% 25.4% 27.7%
BB%
6.5% 7.7% 9.1% 10.4% 11.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.16
74
ERA2.23
92
BB%9.6%
37
K%22.9%
53
xwOBA allowed0.241
98 +45 vs proj
Barrel allowed2.4%
99 +39 vs proj
Fastball velo97.9
94
Hard-hit allowed32.3%
90
Whiff%27.5%
81 +37 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-19
Changeup Stuff+110
95
Cutter Stuff+107
96
Fastball Stuff+104
64
Mithrandir Stuff+107
90
Sinker Stuff+105
77
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Rodriguez, Bradgley · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.241 2026-07-08: 0.2442026-07-09: 0.2402026-07-10: 0.2402026-07-11: 0.2352026-07-12: 0.2352026-07-13: 0.2372026-07-14: 0.2372026-07-15: 0.2372026-07-16: 0.2372026-07-17: 0.2372026-07-18: 0.2372026-07-19: 0.241 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 42%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Rodriguez, Bradgley · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 41%41%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rodriguez, Bradgley · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 42.0%Sinker: 26.7%4-Seam Fastball: 23.0%Slider: 7.6%Cutter: 0.8% CH42% · 90 mphprimary pitch CH 42%SI 27%FF 23%SL 8%FC 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rodriguez, Bradgley · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Changeup: 42% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 89.5 mphCH90 mphSinker: 27% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 97.7 mphSI98 mph4-Seam Fastball: 23% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 98.1 mphFF98 mphSlider: 8% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 88.2 mphSL88 mphCutter: 1% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 90.6 mphFC91 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 42.1% 174 110 limited sample
SI 25.9% 107 105 limited sample
FB 22.0% 91 104 limited sample
FC 9.9% 41 107 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age22
Height6' 1"
Weight160 lb
Debut2025-05-31
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-2.28
K% Δ+0.005

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.312
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.241

Rodriguez’s wOBA-against sits at 0.312, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.241 — a gap of 0.071, 2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 45 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-05-12Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.4% K | 4.51 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 @ LAA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 vs COL0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs COL0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-09 vs COL0 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-07 @ PIT0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP