Mithrandir Metrics
Player Durham Bulls Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Durham Bulls

Carson Williams

SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 180 lb · Age 23

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
--
Club Durham Bulls Position SS Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2025106111752.172.219.354.573
2026336300.100.156.133.289
2 Seasons139172052.155.204.302.506
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
68
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
43
Speed1 metrics
61
Plate skills10 metrics
71
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
xwOBA preseason0.247
xwOBA current pace0.197
xwOBA rolling p500.238
Observed weight17%
xwOBA
0.163 0.199 0.238 0.278 0.313
wOBA
0.175 0.214 0.258 0.301 0.340
ISO
0.044 0.082 0.123 0.164 0.202
K%
19.2% 23.2% 27.7% 32.1% 36.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
43
Range Runs-1.6 · SS
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · SS
61
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-19
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.5% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.1% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions73.7% · rebadged research
95
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
73
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.261 · validated thin sample
92
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
62
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
61
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
73
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

29 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Williams, Carson · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 69% of plotted batted ballsCenter 69%Right field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsOppo 17% LF 318 CF 408 RF 314 2026-03-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 4.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -20.02026-03-19 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -8.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 17.02026-03-22 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 32.02026-03-22 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.8 / LA -32.02026-03-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -2.02026-03-24 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -11.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 17.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 50.0 / LA 34.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.1 / LA 3.02026-03-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA 8.02026-03-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 47.02026-03-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 9.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 2.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · popup · EV 46.9 / LA 52.02026-03-29 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA -2.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 55.02026-03-29 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 33.6 / LA -20.02026-03-30 · fielders choice out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 4.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 47.7 / LA -60.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 10.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 39.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 49.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · popup · EV 75.1 / LA 79.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 23.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 31.02026-05-27 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -18.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 34.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Williams, Carson · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 54%54%Chase: 38%38%Whiff: 29%29%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 71%71%Hard hit: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height6' 1"
Weight180 lb
Debut2025-08-22
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.291 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-04-03 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 1 E0-4 | 3 K
2026-04-01 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-03-31 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-03-30 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-3 | 2 K
2026-03-29 @ STL0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2B, BB, K