Mithrandir Metrics
Player Norfolk Tides Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Norfolk Tides

Cade Povich

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 200 lb · Age 26

Cards
6
Modules
1
Live Δ
--
Club Norfolk Tides Position P Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024395.201616079.2691.43
2025385.2122200112.11181.50
2026115.1243019.1121.34
3 Seasons7185.2042390211.11991.46
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
31
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal6 metrics
31
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason4.21
ERA current pace5.12
ERA rolling p504.44
Observed weight25%
ERA
3.31 3.85 4.44 5.03 5.57
FIP
3.74 4.10 4.50 4.90 5.26
K%
18.0% 19.6% 21.5% 23.4% 25.1%
BB%
5.8% 6.8% 7.9% 8.9% 9.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Changeup Stuff+99
27
Curveball Stuff+99
13
Fastball Stuff+107
85
Mithrandir Stuff+101
38
Sinker Stuff+97
16
Slider Stuff+93
5
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 43%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Povich, Cade · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 33%33%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 46%46% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Povich, Cade · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 43.1%Curveball: 22.7%Slider: 16.4%Sinker: 9.2%Changeup: 8.6% FF43% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 43%CU 23%SL 16%SI 9%CH 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Povich, Cade · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ 4-Seam Fastball: 43% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 91.9 mphFF92 mphCurveball: 23% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 64″ drop, 76.1 mphCU76 mphSlider: 16% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 86.5 mphSL86 mphSinker: 9% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 91.4 mphSI91 mphChangeup: 9% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 84.8 mphCH85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 43.1% 131 107 limited sample
CB 22.7% 69 99 limited sample
SL 16.4% 50 93 limited sample
SI 9.2% 28 97 limited sample
CH 8.6% 26 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 3"
Weight200 lb
Debut2024-06-06
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching62026-05-07Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.7% K | 4.15 ERAProjection
2026-04-12 vs SF1 ER / 5 K6.2 IP
2026-04-05 @ PIT2 ER / 2 K5.2 IP