Mithrandir Metrics
Player Houston Astros Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Houston Astros

Zach Dezenzo

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 220 lb · Age 26

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Houston Astros Position LF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20246551520.242.277.371.648
2025109172421.245.321.367.688
20266391311.228.302.351.653
3 Seasons237315252.240.304.364.668
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
41
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
45
Defense1 metrics
22
Speed1 metrics
58
Plate skills10 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.295
xwOBA current pace0.271
xwOBA rolling p500.289
Observed weight22%
xwOBA
0.234 0.260 0.289 0.318 0.345
wOBA
0.232 0.267 0.306 0.346 0.381
ISO
0.082 0.107 0.134 0.162 0.186
K%
25.7% 28.2% 31.0% 33.8% 36.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
70
Exit velocity82.4
6
Hard-hit%24.2%
6 -49 vs proj
xBA0.354
81
xSLG0.560
67
xwOBA0.271
17 -40 vs proj
BB%9.5%
62 +18 vs proj
Bat speed73.4
92
K%38.1%
1 -16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
22
Arm Runs0.8 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.2 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · LF
58
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 35.5% · rebadged research
4
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.256 · borderline
95
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
64
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
37
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365 · validated
12
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
48
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
26
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Dezenzo, Zach · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.271 2026-07-06: 0.2642026-07-07: 0.2592026-07-08: 0.2592026-07-09: 0.2682026-07-10: 0.2802026-07-11: 0.2802026-07-12: 0.2762026-07-13: 0.2762026-07-14: 0.2712026-07-15: 0.2712026-07-16: 0.2712026-07-17: 0.271 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

25 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Dezenzo, Zach · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsPull 8%Center field third: 64% of plotted batted ballsCenter 64%Right field third: 28% of plotted batted ballsOppo 28% LF 315 CF 409 RF 326 2026-05-06 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 58.9 / LA -17.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA -7.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 59.4 / LA 16.02026-05-08 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 33.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 32.02026-05-10 · field out · ST · popup · EV 61.8 / LA 50.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 41.02026-05-12 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 13.02026-05-13 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 88.3 / LA 20.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 73.1 / LA -9.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 83.4 / LA 27.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.5 / LA -7.02026-05-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 15.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA -11.02026-05-17 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 79.5 / LA 18.02026-05-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 85.0 / LA 18.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.4 / LA -26.02026-05-18 · double play · SL · line_drive · EV 58.2 / LA 15.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 28.02026-05-18 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA -5.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 52.02026-05-19 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 33.02026-05-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -41.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 18.02026-05-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 21.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Dezenzo, Zach · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 35%35%Zone contact: 75%75%Contact: 65%65%Hard hit: 24%24% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 5"
Weight220 lb
Debut2024-08-06
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.043
wOBA Δ-0.007
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.313 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2 K, R