Mithrandir Metrics
Player Milwaukee Brewers Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers

Logan Henderson

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 209 lb · Age 24

Cards
14
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Milwaukee Brewers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025301.7855025.1330.99
2026922.481414076.1860.83
2 Seasons1222.3019190101.21190.87
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
94
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
70
Arsenal5 metrics
75
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-01
ERA preseason3.62
ERA current pace2.60
ERA rolling p503.06
Observed weight55%
ERA
1.44 2.21 3.06 3.91 4.67
FIP
2.86 3.25 3.68 4.12 4.51
K%
25.8% 27.2% 28.8% 30.4% 31.8%
BB%
5.0% 5.8% 6.6% 7.5% 8.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.83
99
ERA2.60
88
BB%4.8%
97 +55 vs proj
K%30.3%
93
xwOBA allowed0.257
94 +29 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.0%
27
Fastball velo93.0
26
Hard-hit allowed38.6%
48
Whiff%23.3%
54
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Changeup Stuff+112
98
Fastball Stuff+104
61
Mithrandir Stuff+107
90
Cutter Stuff+107
93
Slider Stuff+100
33
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Henderson, Logan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.257 2026-08-21: 0.2562026-08-22: 0.2562026-08-23: 0.2562026-08-24: 0.2562026-08-25: 0.2572026-08-26: 0.2572026-08-27: 0.2572026-08-28: 0.2572026-08-29: 0.2572026-08-30: 0.2572026-08-31: 0.2572026-09-01: 0.257 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 46%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Henderson, Logan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 55%55%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 56%56%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Henderson, Logan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 45.8%Changeup: 33.3%Cutter: 17.9%Sweeper: 3.0% FF46% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 46%CH 33%FC 18%ST 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Henderson, Logan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 46% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 93.0 mphFF93 mphChangeup: 33% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 82.7 mphCH83 mphCutter: 18% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 87.7 mphFC88 mphSweeper: 3% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 81.1 mphST81 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 45.7% 288 104 qualified
CH 33.3% 210 112 qualified
FC 17.3% 109 107 limited sample
SL 3.7% 23 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height6' 0"
Weight209 lb
Debut2025-04-20
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.58
K% Δ+0.038

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.255
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.257

Henderson’s wOBA-against sits at 0.255, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.257 — a gap of 0.002, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 77 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching142026-08-28Four-Seam Fastball played up through CH/FC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.6% K | 4.18 ERAProjection
2026-04-04 @ KC2 ER / 3 K2.0 IP