Mithrandir Metrics
Player Kansas City Royals Refreshed Sep 3 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Kansas City Royals

Noah Cameron

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 220 lb · Age 27

Cards
24
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Kansas City Royals Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025972.9924240138.11141.10
2026984.0827260154.11381.22
2 Seasons18153.5751500292.22521.16
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-03
56
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
49
Arsenal7 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-03
ERA preseason4.15
ERA current pace4.08
ERA rolling p504.10
Observed weight74%
ERA
2.93 3.49 4.10 4.71 5.26
FIP
3.23 3.60 4.01 4.42 4.79
K%
18.7% 19.6% 20.6% 21.5% 22.4%
BB%
6.5% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 8.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-03
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.24
65
ERA4.08
48
BB%7.6%
68
K%21.3%
44 +18 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.311
53 +31 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.1%
40
Fastball velo92.3
18
Hard-hit allowed38.8%
46
Whiff%24.1%
60
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-03
Changeup Stuff+104
64
Curveball Stuff+101
34
Cutter Stuff+104
74
Fastball Stuff+104
62
Mithrandir Stuff+103
53
Slider Stuff+103
64
Sinker Stuff+97
19
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cameron, Noah · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.311 2026-08-23: 0.3152026-08-24: 0.3152026-08-25: 0.3132026-08-26: 0.3132026-08-27: 0.3132026-08-28: 0.3132026-08-29: 0.3132026-08-30: 0.3132026-08-31: 0.3132026-09-01: 0.3132026-09-02: 0.3132026-09-03: 0.311 2026-08-23 2026-09-03 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 25%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cameron, Noah · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cameron, Noah · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 24.7%Changeup: 20.9%Cutter: 20.9%Curveball: 16.7%Slider: 12.3%Sinker: 4.4% FF25% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 25%CH 21%FC 21%CU 17%SL 12%SI 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cameron, Noah · 2026 arsenal snapshot 24″48″72″96″ 4-Seam Fastball: 25% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 92.5 mphFF92 mphChangeup: 21% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 81.0 mphCH81 mphCutter: 21% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 89.7 mphFC90 mphCurveball: 17% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 50″ drop, 81.8 mphCU82 mphSlider: 12% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 85.1 mphSL85 mphSinker: 4% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 91.5 mphSI91 mphEephus: 0% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 94″ drop, 57.4 mphEP57 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 25.7% 444 104 qualified
CH 20.7% 358 104 qualified
FC 20.1% 347 104 qualified
CB 15.9% 275 101 qualified
SL 13.0% 225 103 qualified
SI 4.6% 79 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 3"
Weight220 lb
Debut2025-04-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.56
K% Δ+0.025

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.329
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.311

Cameron’s wOBA-against sits at 0.329, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.311 — a gap of 0.018, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 157 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching242026-09-02Cutter played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202618.8% K | 4.79 ERAProjection
2026-04-12 vs CWS5 ER / 4 K5.1 IP
2026-04-07 @ CLE1 ER / 5 K5.2 IP
2026-04-01 vs MIN1 ER / 5 K5.0 IP