Reference layer
Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Player profile / MIN
Alan Roden
Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 11", 215 lb · Age 26
Club MIN
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 153 | 17 | 26 | 2 | 1 | .191 | .261 | .294 | .555 |
| 2026 | 94 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 0 | .291 | .376 | .392 | .768 |
| 2 Seasons | 247 | 24 | 49 | 3 | 1 | .228 | .305 | .330 | .635 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
63
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
47
Exit velocity86.3
32
Hard-hit%42.5%
70
xBA0.350
83
xSLG0.494
48
xwOBA0.361
95
BB%13.0%
92
Bat speed66.2
13
K%13.0%
95
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · RF
28
Arm Strength89.2 · RF
17
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
26
Range Runs-1.0 · RF
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.1 · RF
40
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.7% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.1% · rebadged research
9
Correct Decisions62.3% · rebadged research
17
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.314 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.290 · validated thin sample
28
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
32
Resists FastballwOBA 0.327 · validated
70
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.379 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
40 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Roden’s wOBA sits at 0.430, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.361 — a gap of 0.069, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 108 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-09-26 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 10 | 2026-08-18 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.451 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| No projection links or recent game log rows are available yet. |