Mithrandir Metrics
Stories 2026 Refreshed Jul 27 06:00 AM ET
Player Story · 2025 to 2026

What changed for Blaze Alexander.

From 2025 to 2026, Blaze Alexander's Oppo% moved from 25.2% to 36.0%. Here's everything else the data sees that changed.

2025 PA
266
2026 PA
258
Age
27
Blaze Alexander Window 2025 → 2026 Source Seasonal Statcast
Current-season visual evidence

The swing, launch, and flight

Every path below is a real Statcast batted ball, reconstructed from its exit velocity, launch angle, spray direction, distance, and outcome. Current shape: 83.5 mph average exit velocity, 14.9° average launch angle, 25.5% hard-hit.

Open full Swing Lab

This view describes the current-season batted-ball shape. The year-over-year tables below provide the comparison behind the story.

Something has changed for Blaze Alexander, now 27, between 2025 and 2026. We went through what the data can actually measure, including contact, plate approach, swing shape, and the results they produce, to separate the signal from the noise. The clearest gain: Oppo% moved from 25.2% to 36.0%, which now sits in the 95th percentile leaguewide. It hasn't been all one direction. Barrel% has slipped from 7.1% to 4.7%, but the trade has largely worked so far.

Section 1 / 4

The Results

On the bottom-line production (what it all adds up to), the arrows point the right way. Alexander has improved on OPS (0.685→0.788), xwOBA (0.305→0.361), and wOBA (0.327→0.383), with nothing here moving meaningfully against him.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
xwOBA 0.305 0.361 ▲ +0.056 87th
wOBA 0.327 0.383 ▲ +0.055 82th
xSLG 0.600 0.620 ▲ +0.021 75th
OPS 0.685 0.788 ▲ +0.103 70th

The biggest move is OPS, up from 0.685 to 0.788 (+0.103). It's been a clean step forward here.

Section 2 / 4

Contact Quality

On the quality of contact (how hard and how flush he's hitting the ball), it's a genuine mix. Alexander has gained ground on Exit Velo (88.9 mph→90.4 mph), Sweet-Spot% (35.8%→43.4%), and Hard-Hit% (43.5%→48.6%), while slipping on Barrel% (7.1%→4.7%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Exit Velo 88.9 mph 90.4 mph ▲ +1.4 72th
Barrel% 7.1% 4.7% ▼ -2.5 pts 34th
Hard-Hit% 43.5% 48.6% ▲ +5.0 pts 84th
Sweet-Spot% 35.8% 43.4% ▲ +7.6 pts 97th

The biggest move is Exit Velo, up from 88.9 mph to 90.4 mph (+1.4).

Section 3 / 4

Plate Approach

On his approach at the plate (what he swings at and how often he misses), it's a genuine mix. Alexander has gained ground on K% (32.3%→22.1%) and Whiff% (28.3%→23.9%), while slipping on Chase% (25.1%→30.4%) and BB% (8.3%→6.2%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Chase% 25.1% 30.4% ▼ +5.3 pts 47th
Whiff% 28.3% 23.9% ▲ -4.4 pts 40th
K% 32.3% 22.1% ▲ -10.2 pts 48th
BB% 8.3% 6.2% ▼ -2.1 pts 19th

The biggest move is K%, down from 32.3% to 22.1% (-10.2 pts).

Section 4 / 4

Swing & Batted-Ball Shape

On his swing and batted-ball shape (the mechanical fingerprint behind the changes above), it's a genuine mix. Alexander has gained ground on Launch Angle (6.6°→8.9°), Bat Speed (69.0 mph→70.0 mph), and Oppo% (25.2%→36.0%), while slipping on Pull% (44.2%→35.4%) and Swing Length (7.2 ft→7.2 ft). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Launch Angle 6.6° 8.9° ▲ +2.3 15th
Pull% 44.2% 35.4% ▼ -8.8 pts 5th
Oppo% 25.2% 36.0% ▲ +10.8 pts 95th
Ground-Ball% 51.0% 49.1% ▲ -1.9 pts 15th
Bat Speed (2024+) 69.0 mph 70.0 mph ▲ +1.1 51th
Swing Length (2024+) 7.2 ft 7.2 ft ▼ +0.1 50th

The biggest move is Launch Angle, up from 6.6° to 8.9° (+2.3).

Verdict

The takeaway

Bottom line: between 2025 and 2026, the broad picture is a step forward, and the results are following the process. More of Alexander's underlying markers are pointing up than down. It's worth re-checking as the sample grows, but the direction is already readable in the numbers.

Method

How to read this

  • This compares what the data can measure (contact, approach, swing and batted-ball shape). Stance, hand position, and leg-kick changes are not in the public data and are not claimed here.

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