Mithrandir Metrics
Stories 2026 Refreshed Jul 27 06:00 AM ET
Player Story · 2025 to 2026

What changed for Jorge Polanco.

From 2025 to 2026, Jorge Polanco's Whiff% moved from 21.9% to 17.9%. Here's everything else the data sees that changed.

2025 PA
598
2026 PA
115
Age
33
Jorge Polanco Window 2025 → 2026 Source Seasonal Statcast
Current-season visual evidence

The swing, launch, and flight

Every path below is a real Statcast batted ball, reconstructed from its exit velocity, launch angle, spray direction, distance, and outcome. Current shape: 81.9 mph average exit velocity, 13.5° average launch angle, 21.8% hard-hit.

Open full Swing Lab

This view describes the current-season batted-ball shape. The year-over-year tables below provide the comparison behind the story.

Something has changed for Jorge Polanco, now 33, between 2025 and 2026. We went through what the data can actually measure, including contact, plate approach, swing shape, and the results they produce, to separate the signal from the noise. The clearest gain: Whiff% moved from 21.9% to 17.9%, which now sits in the 75th percentile leaguewide. It hasn't been all one direction. Barrel% has slipped from 8.0% to 2.6%, but the trade has largely worked so far.

Section 1 / 4

The Results

On the bottom-line production (what it all adds up to), this is the soft spot. Polanco has gone the wrong way on OPS (0.810→0.462), xSLG (0.559→0.360), and wOBA (0.363→0.251), which is worth watching even if the headline numbers hold up.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
xwOBA 0.338 0.233 ▼ -0.105 0th
wOBA 0.363 0.251 ▼ -0.112 0th
xSLG 0.559 0.360 ▼ -0.199 1th
OPS 0.810 0.462 ▼ -0.348 0th

The biggest move is OPS, down from 0.810 to 0.462 (-0.348). This is where things have gone the wrong way.

Section 2 / 4

Contact Quality

On the quality of contact (how hard and how flush he's hitting the ball), this is the soft spot. Polanco has gone the wrong way on Exit Velo (90.3 mph→85.6 mph), Hard-Hit% (46.7%→28.6%), and Barrel% (8.0%→2.6%), which is worth watching even if the headline numbers hold up.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Exit Velo 90.3 mph 85.6 mph ▼ -4.7 14th
Barrel% 8.0% 2.6% ▼ -5.4 pts 13th
Hard-Hit% 46.7% 28.6% ▼ -18.2 pts 7th
Sweet-Spot% 36.4% 33.3% ▼ -3.1 pts 26th

The biggest move is Exit Velo, down from 90.3 mph to 85.6 mph (-4.7). This is where things have gone the wrong way.

Section 3 / 4

Plate Approach

On his approach at the plate (what he swings at and how often he misses), it's a genuine mix. Polanco has gained ground on Whiff% (21.9%→17.9%), while slipping on K% (16.4%→20.0%), Chase% (27.3%→30.0%), and BB% (7.9%→7.0%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Chase% 27.3% 30.0% ▼ +2.7 pts 49th
Whiff% 21.9% 17.9% ▲ -4.0 pts 75th
K% 16.4% 20.0% ▼ +3.6 pts 59th
BB% 7.9% 7.0% ▼ -0.9 pts 25th

The biggest move is Whiff%, down from 21.9% to 17.9% (-4.0 pts).

Section 4 / 4

Swing & Batted-Ball Shape

On his swing and batted-ball shape (the mechanical fingerprint behind the changes above), it's a genuine mix. Polanco has gained ground on Oppo% (21.3%→25.0%) and Pull% (54.6%→54.8%), while slipping on Launch Angle (16.6°→11.1°), Bat Speed (68.7 mph→67.7 mph), and Ground-Ball% (38.2%→44.0%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Launch Angle 16.6° 11.1° ▼ -5.4 28th
Pull% 54.6% 54.8% ▲ +0.2 pts 94th
Oppo% 21.3% 25.0% ▲ +3.7 pts 39th
Ground-Ball% 38.2% 44.0% ▼ +5.8 pts 37th
Bat Speed (2024+) 68.7 mph 67.7 mph ▼ -0.9 23th
Swing Length (2024+) 7.1 ft 7.2 ft ▼ +0.0 57th

The biggest move is Launch Angle, down from 16.6° to 11.1° (-5.4).

Verdict

The takeaway

Bottom line: between 2025 and 2026, the broad picture is a step back, and it's showing in the results. More of Polanco's markers are sliding than improving. It's worth re-checking as the sample grows, but the direction is already readable in the numbers.

Method

How to read this

  • Sample sizes are modest (2025 598 PA, 2026 115 PA), so read the magnitude of these changes with some caution.
  • This compares what the data can measure (contact, approach, swing and batted-ball shape). Stance, hand position, and leg-kick changes are not in the public data and are not claimed here.

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