Analytics

Home Run Gap Analytics

A read-only aggregate view across saved graded HR market-comparison artifacts. This page summarizes hit-rate behavior over time by play tier, market signals, sportsbook mix, odds buckets, and lineup confirmation state.

Open HR Gap History Open Latest HR Gaps

Analytics Scope

373 dates

77025 graded rows Saved artifacts only

Overall

Aggregate Snapshot

This analytics view is built only from saved grading artifacts. It does not recompute projections, market gaps, or ROI.

Dates 373

Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025

Over Hit Rate 15.8%

Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Recommendation Quality

Strong 44 / 285

15.4%

Play 719 / 4087

17.6%

Lean 1110 / 7449

14.9%

Market Signals 1414 / 7671

Win 18.4%

Buckets

Context Splits

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Market Format

one_sided_hr: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

two_sided_over_under: 1255 / 7919 | 15.8%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%

Value Score Buckets

50 to <60: 322 / 1582 | 20.3%

60 to <70: 185 / 877 | 21.1%

70+: 83 / 237 | 35.0%

<50: 824 / 4975 | 16.6%

Lineup Confirmation

Projected: 1414 / 7671 | 18.4%

Value Score Quality

Win Avg: 45.7

Loss Avg: 42.5

Under Hit Rate: 84.7%