Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-06-02 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Starling Marte

KC · Hitter
IN · 4 Neutral
MatchupKC vs CINAndrew Abbott
Sample5808.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 43.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 43.7% Market 65.6% Gap +1.9pp
FanDuel 125 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 98.0% Market -- Gap +11.9pp
FanDuel 8000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.9%
48
Exit velocity91.2
86
Hard-hit%36.0%
33
xBA0.343
68
xSLG0.469
36
xwOBA0.281
24 -31 vs proj
BB%7.4%
34 +16 vs proj
Bat speed70.1
56
K%27.2%
26
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
45
Arm Runs1.0 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs0.2 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · RF
6
SB Success Rate0.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions65.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNo current flag
Opposing pitcherAndrew Abbott
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)