Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Salvador Perez

KC · Hitter · bats R · age 36
IN · 6 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupKC vs SDMichael King
Sample6826.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.1
F 14.0
V 18.2
Model 18.4% Market 17.2% Gap +0.5pp
FanDuel 460 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 63.5
F 64.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 63.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 72.5% Market 73.3% Gap +9.8pp
BetMGM -275 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
83
Exit velocity89.5
66
Hard-hit%43.7%
70
xBA0.291
22
xSLG0.497
45
xwOBA0.286
28 -45 vs proj
BB%3.4%
6
Bat speed70.4
61
K%20.1%
64 +18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.6 · C
23
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
61
Framing Runs-5.5 · C
4
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · C
6
Pop Time2.0 · C
29
Range Runs-3.4 · C
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed23.9 · C
1
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.9%
11
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.1%
83
Correct Decisions62.9%
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
22
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.247 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.306 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.380
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.308 to 0.372
RegressionPositive · 0.004
Opposing pitcherMichael King
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)