Mithrandir Metrics
TOR 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

George Springer

TOR · Hitter · bats R · age 37
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTOR vs NYYRyan Weathers
Sample5736.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 22 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 22.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 21.4% Market 17.5% Gap +3.2pp
FanDuel 450 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 64.5
F 81.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 80.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 64.5% Market 77.1% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 27.1
F 28.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 27.1% Market -- Gap +1.5pp
FanDuel 250 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
71
Exit velocity88.3
49
Hard-hit%38.5%
44
xBA0.281
16
xSLG0.465
33
xwOBA0.298
39 -31 vs proj
BB%10.2%
69
Bat speed69.8
52
K%18.7%
71
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · DH
31
Sprint Speed26.6 · DH
29
SB Success Rate50.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.1%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.4%
Small sample
Correct Decisions72.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.356
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.321
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.290 to 0.384
RegressionNegative · -0.070
Opposing pitcherRyan Weathers
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)