Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Max Muncy

LAD · Hitter · bats L · age 36
IN · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupLAD vs AZMichael Soroka
Sample3471.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 17.8% Market 18.8% Gap -1.7pp
DraftKings 415 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.0%
87
Barrel%11.2%
97 +27 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
59
Exit velocity91.1
86
Hard-hit%49.6%
89 +21 vs proj
K%26.0%
31
xBA0.379
90
xSLG0.789
98
xwOBA0.391
95 +18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength84.9 · 3B
41
Outs Above Avg5.0 · 3B
96
Range Runs3.6 · 3B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · 3B
53
Sprint Speed27.2 · 3B
47
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.9% · rebadged research
67
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
33
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.318 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.384 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.291 to 0.397
RegressionNegative · -0.028
Opposing pitcherMichael Soroka
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)