Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Joc Pederson

TEX · Hitter · bats L · age 34
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs BOSSonny Gray
Sample4122.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.1
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 17.3% Market 14.1% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel 580 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
66
Exit velocity91.5
87
Hard-hit%49.3%
89 +15 vs proj
xBA0.333
61
xSLG0.552
62
xwOBA0.351
79
BB%12.7%
85
Bat speed69.6
50
K%22.3%
48
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 1B
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
59 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.4 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · DH
26
Sprint Speed25.4 · DH
9
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.5%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.4%
Small sample
Correct Decisions68.0%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.326 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.247 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.369
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.280 to 0.381
RegressionNegative · -0.017
Opposing pitcherSonny Gray
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)