Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

J.t. Realmuto

PHI · Hitter · bats R · age 35
IN · 8 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupPHI vs MILJacob Misiorowski
Sample5200.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 51.4
F 69.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 68.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 51.4% Market 67.9% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 200 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 16.7
F 15.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 16.7% Market -- Gap +3.8pp
FanDuel 390 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
20 -41 vs proj
Exit velocity88.6
52
Hard-hit%40.5%
54
xBA0.318
44
xSLG0.480
41
xwOBA0.315
55
BB%8.2%
43 +21 vs proj
Bat speed71.4
75
K%19.7%
63 +25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.6 · C
80
Catcher Throwing3.1 · C
98
Framing Runs1.2 · C
68
Pop Time1.9 · C
100
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · C
74
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.1%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.295 to 0.369
RegressionPositive · 0.012
Opposing pitcherJacob Misiorowski
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)