Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Christian Yelich

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 35
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIL vs SFLanden Roupp
Sample6212.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 20.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 18.3% Market 16.4% Gap +1.2pp
FanDuel 485 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 65.1
F 83.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 82.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 65.1% Market 78.4% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel 160 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 2.0
F 3.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +5.5pp
FanDuel 10000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.2%
41 -25 vs proj
Barrel%4.5%
41 -15 vs proj
Bat speed70.0
55
Exit velocity86.6
28
Hard-hit%33.3%
24 -50 vs proj
K%29.1%
17 -33 vs proj
xBA0.295
26
xSLG0.532
57
xwOBA0.273
19 -55 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · LF
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF · small sample regression applied
60 Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.1 · DH
45
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.0% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.2% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Correct Decisions68.4% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.298 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.382 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
validated
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
Limited

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.300 to 0.380
RegressionNegative · -0.100
Opposing pitcherLanden Roupp
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)