Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-05-30 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-30

Mookie Betts

LAD · Hitter · bats R · age 34
IN · 5 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs PHIJesús Luzardo
Sample6174.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 17.7% Market 15.9% Gap +1.2pp
FanDuel 505 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 82.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 82.3% Market 79.5% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel -475 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.5%
86 +32 vs proj
Exit velocity91.3
87
Hard-hit%38.9%
44
xBA0.294
25
xSLG0.518
52
xwOBA0.325
65 -17 vs proj
BB%11.1%
74
Bat speed67.4
23
K%11.1%
96
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength79.6 · SS
12
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
71
Range Runs0.4 · SS
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.5 · SS
28
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.6%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.4%
Small sample
Correct Decisions70.6%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.299 to 0.403
RegressionNegative · -0.052
Opposing pitcherJesús Luzardo
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)