Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-05-28 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-28

Victor Caratini

MIN · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 8 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs CWSDavis Martin
Sample2098.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 69.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 69.7% Market 67.4% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel -235 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 66.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 66.1% Market -- Gap --pp
Internal -- tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
37
Exit velocity88.3
46
Hard-hit%36.4%
34
xBA0.325
49
xSLG0.496
44
xwOBA0.328
68 +16 vs proj
BB%8.5%
46 +16 vs proj
Bat speed69.7
50
K%22.4%
47
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.3 · C
62
Catcher Throwing-1.6 · C
2
Framing Runs2.9 · C
88
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
80
Pop Time2.0 · C
3
Range Runs0.1 · C
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.2 · C
2
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 55.6%
Small sample
Correct Decisions51.4%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.296 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline78
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.288 to 0.352
RegressionPositive · 0.035
Opposing pitcherDavis Martin
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)