Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Victor Caratini

MIN · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 8 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs CHCColin Rea
Sample2196.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 61.4
F 63.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 62.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 69.7% Market 70.6% Gap +9.2pp
BetMGM -240 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.7%
60 +21 vs proj
Exit velocity89.5
66
Hard-hit%39.4%
51
xBA0.319
47
xSLG0.530
56
xwOBA0.338
76 +23 vs proj
BB%9.6%
63 +33 vs proj
Bat speed69.2
43
K%20.0%
65
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.3 · C
64
Catcher Throwing-3.8 · C
1
Framing Runs3.1 · C
86
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
65
Pop Time2.0 · C
3
Range Runs0.1 · C
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.4 · C
2
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.7%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions64.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.360 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.309
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.288 to 0.352
RegressionNegative · -0.004
Opposing pitcherColin Rea
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)