Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-09-04 Refreshed Sep 4 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-04

Victor Caratini

MIN · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 8 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs CWSErick Fedde
Sample2268.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.049, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 48.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 48.6% Market 70.6% Gap +12.7pp
FanDuel 150 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 17.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 17.6% Market -- Gap +7.4pp
FanDuel 300 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
48
Exit velocity89.4
68
Hard-hit%39.3%
54
xBA0.305
34
xSLG0.491
45
xwOBA0.319
67
BB%9.6%
64
Bat speed69.4
46
K%20.4%
63
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.8 · C
76
Catcher Throwing-3.6 · C
2
Framing Runs2.8 · C
79
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
67
Pop Time2.0 · C
2
Range Runs0.2 · C
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.5 · C
2
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.9%
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.1%
14
Correct Decisions64.8%
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.304 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.359 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.312
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.300
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.288 to 0.352
RegressionPositive · 0.007
Opposing pitcherErick Fedde
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-04
Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1629 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1125 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8804 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 922 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)