Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Ketel Marte

AZ · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 2 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupAZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan
Sample4755.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 19.9% Market 20.5% Gap -1.4pp
DraftKings 370 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.9%
40 -27 vs proj
Barrel%8.3%
84
Bat speed72.7
87
Exit velocity90.2
75
Hard-hit%43.6%
66
K%14.3%
88
xBA0.364
83
xSLG0.605
76
xwOBA0.375
90
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · 2B
81
Arm Strength85.8 · 2B
53
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 2B
88
Range Runs3.0 · 2B
87
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · 2B
48
Sprint Speed26.4 · 2B
25
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.5% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions64.0% · rebadged research
30
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.366 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.416 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.310 to 0.402
RegressionPositive · 0.020
Opposing pitcherEmmet Sheehan
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)