Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-05-23 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-23

José Ramírez

CLE · Hitter · bats L · age 34
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCLE vs PHIZack Wheeler
Sample6165.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 22 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.9
F 15.5
V 11.7
Model 18.2% Market 20.4% Gap -2.2pp
BetMGM 390 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.2%
75 +32 vs proj
Exit velocity90.7
77
Hard-hit%45.1%
72 +33 vs proj
xBA0.344
69
xSLG0.569
66
xwOBA0.378
89 +18 vs proj
BB%15.3%
94 +41 vs proj
Bat speed68.6
35
K%13.7%
90
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.6 · 3B
55
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 3B
88
Range Runs3.7 · 3B
92
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.4 · 3B
97
SB Success Rate84.6% · 3B
60
Sprint Speed27.2 · 3B
50
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 50.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions53.8%
Small sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.166
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.307 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.385
RegressionNegative · -0.024
Opposing pitcherZack Wheeler
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)