Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-09-04 Refreshed Sep 4 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-04

José Ramírez

CLE · Hitter · bats L · age 34
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCLE vs DETKeider Montero
Sample6364.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.049, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.6
F 13.4
V 13.8
Model 21.4% Market 19.4% Gap +1.2pp
FanDuel 395 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 65.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 81.3% Market 82.3% Gap +17.2pp
BetMGM -465 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
36
Exit velocity89.6
73
Hard-hit%41.9%
67 +19 vs proj
xBA0.328
60
xSLG0.488
45
xwOBA0.341
85
BB%12.0%
87 +30 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
37
K%12.9%
95
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.6 · 3B
39
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
79
Range Runs1.5 · 3B
69
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.8 · 3B
93
SB Success Rate88.0% · 3B
76
Sprint Speed27.8 · 3B
59
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.0%
59
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9%
73
Correct Decisions66.9%
58
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.358
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.334
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.385
RegressionNegative · -0.015
Opposing pitcherKeider Montero
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-04
Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1629 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1125 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8804 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 922 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)