Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-09-11 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-11

José Ramírez

CLE · Hitter · bats L · age 34
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCLE vs MINTaj Bradley
Sample6388.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.3
F 13.4
V 15.2
Model 22.7% Market 19.4% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 395 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 64.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 80.1% Market 81.1% Gap +16.7pp
BetMGM -430 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.8%
34 -19 vs proj
Exit velocity89.1
65
Hard-hit%39.7%
56
xBA0.315
47
xSLG0.468
38
xwOBA0.331
77
BB%11.6%
85 +27 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
37
K%12.6%
95
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.6 · 3B
38
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 3B
84
Range Runs2.0 · 3B
72
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.9 · 3B
93
SB Success Rate88.0% · 3B
76
Sprint Speed27.8 · 3B
59
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.2%
60
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3%
69
Correct Decisions66.9%
58
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.331
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.385
RegressionNegative · -0.014
Opposing pitcherTaj Bradley
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)