Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Corey Seager

TEX · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IL10 · 2 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs STLDustin May
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Valinor calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.0
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 19.4% Market 22.5% Gap -3.1pp
BetMGM 345 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 48.2
F 47.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 47.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 48.2% Market 46.8% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.1%
81
Barrel%10.1%
94
Bat speed70.2
58
Exit velocity91.7
90
Hard-hit%48.3%
85
K%27.6%
23 -50 vs proj
xBA0.329
57
xSLG0.650
84
xwOBA0.330
69 -21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.4 · SS
47
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · SS
16
Range Runs-1.2 · SS
30
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · SS
6
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 14.7% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Correct Decisions71.6% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.247 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.361 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
validated
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
Limited

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.315 to 0.416
RegressionPositive · 0.012
Opposing pitcherDustin May
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-02
Palantir 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d error rising
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)