Mithrandir Metrics
SD 2026-07-19 Refreshed Jul 20 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-19

Miguel Andujar

SD · Hitter · bats R · age 31
IN · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSD vs KCNoah Cameron
Sample1917.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.097, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Valinor calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.076, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 11.5
F 12.2
V 9.0
Model 12.4% Market 9.1% Gap +3.0pp
DraftKings 965 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 52.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 52.8% Market 76.2% Gap +10.7pp
FanDuel -110 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 23.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 23.6% Market -- Gap +13.4pp
FanDuel 170 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.4%
25
Exit velocity88.1
49
Hard-hit%35.3%
32
xBA0.319
47
xSLG0.457
30
xwOBA0.298
42 +16 vs proj
BB%3.8%
8
Bat speed69.3
44
K%16.0%
83
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
60 Regression applied
Range Runs-1.3 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.0 · DH
19
Sprint Speed27.3 · DH
48
SB Success Rate50.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.4%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.2%
Small sample
Correct Decisions63.1%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.258 to 0.317
RegressionNegative · -0.036
Opposing pitcherNoah Cameron
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-20
Palantir 10059 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 10059 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 4464 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Palantir 860 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.035 14d error rising
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 356 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.041 14d stable
Palantir 4739 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.076 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 288 props Brier 0.176 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 462 props Brier 0.260 ECE 0.055 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)