Mithrandir Metrics
LAA 2026-05-28 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-28

Adam Frazier

LAA · Hitter · bats L · age 35
IN · 7 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupLAA vs DET--
Sample3916.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 21 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits 0.5
P 61.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 61.2% Market -- Gap --pp
Internal -- tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.9%
13
Exit velocity81.0
4
Hard-hit%17.2%
1
xBA0.286
20
xSLG0.395
17
xwOBA0.251
8 -17 vs proj
BB%12.5%
83 +57 vs proj
Bat speed61.5
1
K%25.0%
34 -35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength89.2 · 2B
78
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
71
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
Small sample
Range Runs0.0 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · 2B
22
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 90.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.2%
Small sample
Correct Decisions78.6%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.247 · small sample
small sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline117
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.256 to 0.328
RegressionNegative · -0.141
Opposing pitcher--
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)