Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-09-04 Refreshed Sep 4 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-04

Edmundo Sosa

PHI · Hitter · bats R · age 30
IN · 7 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupPHI vs ATLChris Sale
Sample1447.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.049, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 56.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 56.8% Market 73.7% Gap +13.9pp
FanDuel 190 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 16.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 16.2% Market -- Gap +3.6pp
FanDuel 420 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
67 +30 vs proj
Exit velocity87.7
48
Hard-hit%40.2%
58 +21 vs proj
xBA0.369
93
xSLG0.590
77
xwOBA0.339
84 +37 vs proj
BB%3.0%
4
Bat speed71.0
72
K%20.0%
66 +20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.1 · LF
24
Arm Strength84.8 · LF
2
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs2.4 · LF
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts12.0 · LF
68
Sprint Speed28.7 · LF
84
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 47.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9%
Small sample
Correct Decisions57.6%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.311
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.304 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.319
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline83
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.244 to 0.345
RegressionPositive · 0.003
Opposing pitcherChris Sale
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-04
Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1629 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1125 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8804 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 922 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)