Mithrandir Metrics
BAL 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Tyler O'Neill

BAL · Hitter · bats R · age 31
IN · 8 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupBAL vs SDGriffin Canning
Sample2169.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.0
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 18.2% Market 16.7% Gap +0.8pp
FanDuel 475 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
40 -38 vs proj
Exit velocity87.7
41
Hard-hit%36.4%
34 -37 vs proj
xBA0.262
7
xSLG0.441
26
xwOBA0.273
17 -44 vs proj
BB%10.1%
68
Bat speed70.8
68
K%25.2%
33
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.2 · RF
16
Arm Strength92.2 · RF
49
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
21
Range Runs-1.7 · RF
28
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · RF
66
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.3%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.303
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.275 to 0.376
RegressionNegative · -0.005
Opposing pitcherGriffin Canning
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)