Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-06-14 Refreshed Sep 3 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-14

Austin Wynns

ATH · Hitter
IN · 7 Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupATH vs COLTomoyuki Sugano
Sample777.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.043, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.046, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 36.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 36.7% Market 50.6% Gap +1.7pp
FanDuel 220 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 7.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 7.5% Market -- Gap +11.0pp
FanDuel 480 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
41 +20 vs proj
Exit velocity85.3
18
Hard-hit%29.8%
14 -20 vs proj
xBA0.300
26
xSLG0.459
32
xwOBA0.265
14
BB%4.3%
10
Bat speed69.1
43
K%27.5%
23
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.5 · C
80
Catcher Throwing-1.0 · C
20
Framing Runs-1.4 · C
34
Pop Time1.9 · C
55
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.9 · C
5
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.6%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions61.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline84
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNo current flag
Opposing pitcherTomoyuki Sugano
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-03
Palantir 18276 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18276 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12618 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1610 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1106 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8710 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 690 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 910 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.058 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)