Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-05-25 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-25

Andrew Benintendi

CWS · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IN · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCWS vs MINZebby Matthews
Sample4401.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 21 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.2
F 17.9
V 13.5
Model 21.6% Market 13.1% Gap +8.1pp
DraftKings 640 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 32.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 32.5% Market 55.8% Gap +0.6pp
FanDuel 310 tracking Open board
Hits 2.5
P 61.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 61.6% Market -- Gap +1.5pp
FanDuel -165 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
80 +43 vs proj
Exit velocity87.3
35
Hard-hit%48.7%
85 +63 vs proj
xBA0.364
83
xSLG0.618
78
xwOBA0.309
48
BB%6.5%
22 -20 vs proj
Bat speed67.1
22
K%29.2%
16 -60 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.4 · LF
28 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.6 · DH
23
Sprint Speed26.5 · DH
28
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.1%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 7.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions69.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · small sample
small sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.274 to 0.355
RegressionNegative · -0.025
Opposing pitcherZebby Matthews
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)