Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-09-04 Refreshed Sep 4 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-04

Andrew Benintendi

CWS · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IN · 4 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupCWS vs MINZebby Matthews
Sample4629.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.049, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 12.5
F 13.2
V 8.5
Model 18.2% Market 13.1% Gap +4.7pp
DraftKings 640 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 55.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 55.6% Market 74.0% Gap +14.1pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 20.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 20.6% Market -- Gap +4.4pp
FanDuel 300 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
72 +35 vs proj
Exit velocity88.4
56
Hard-hit%44.9%
79 +53 vs proj
xBA0.330
63
xSLG0.550
66
xwOBA0.310
56
BB%8.0%
45
Bat speed68.0
29
K%23.7%
46 -35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.5 · LF
33 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.6 · DH
17
Sprint Speed26.6 · DH
28
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.9%
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0%
85
Correct Decisions65.6%
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
48
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.247
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.274 to 0.355
RegressionNegative · -0.032
Opposing pitcherZebby Matthews
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-04
Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1629 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1125 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8804 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 922 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)