Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Jeff McNeil

ATH · Hitter · bats L · age 34
IN · 8 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupATH vs CHCJameson Taillon
Sample3424.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Valinor calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 43.2
F 45.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 43.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 43.2% Market 42.5% Gap +1.8pp
FanDuel 125 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.4%
43
Barrel%0.9%
4
Bat speed65.9
11
Exit velocity85.9
21
Hard-hit%30.7%
15
K%13.0%
91
xBA0.324
51
xSLG0.418
20
xwOBA0.311
51
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
53
Arm Strength84.5 · 2B
39
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
27
Range Runs-2.8 · 2B
12
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.6 · 2B
13
SB Success Rate50.0% · 2B
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.0% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.4% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Correct Decisions71.1% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
validated
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
Limited

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.280 to 0.357
RegressionNegative · -0.005
Opposing pitcherJameson Taillon
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-02
Palantir 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d error rising
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)