Mithrandir Metrics
ATL 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Ozzie Albies

ATL · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATL vs TORKevin Gausman
Sample4322.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Valinor calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.0
F 13.4
V 13.4
Model 16.4% Market 13.5% Gap +2.4pp
DraftKings 615 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 62.1
F 77.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 76.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 62.1% Market 75.7% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel 135 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +3.5pp
FanDuel 10000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.2%
32
Barrel%2.9%
23 -18 vs proj
Bat speed66.8
20
Exit velocity86.6
27
Hard-hit%28.0%
10 -15 vs proj
K%12.3%
94
xBA0.287
21
xSLG0.432
24
xwOBA0.299
39 -17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · 2B
76
Arm Strength81.0 · 2B
15
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 2B
93
Range Runs3.1 · 2B
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · 2B
54
Sprint Speed27.1 · 2B
45
SB Success Rate0.0% · 2B
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.9% · rebadged research
24
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 15.0% · rebadged research
97
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
71
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.294 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.326 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.287 to 0.360
RegressionNegative · -0.058
Opposing pitcherKevin Gausman
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-02
Palantir 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d error rising
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)