Mithrandir Metrics
ATL 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Ozzie Albies

ATL · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATL vs TEXCal Quantrill
Sample4455.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.8
F 13.5
V 15.3
Model 20.0% Market 13.5% Gap +6.0pp
DraftKings 615 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 61.4
F 66.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 66.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 61.4% Market 79.2% Gap +11.5pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 29.1
F 27.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 29.1% Market -- Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 220 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
22 -20 vs proj
Exit velocity87.3
38
Hard-hit%28.9%
13
xBA0.285
17
xSLG0.434
23
xwOBA0.292
34 -27 vs proj
BB%7.2%
33
Bat speed67.2
22
K%13.6%
92
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · 2B
70
Arm Strength81.0 · 2B
11
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
68
Range Runs0.8 · 2B
58
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · 2B
47
Sprint Speed27.0 · 2B
40
SB Success Rate0.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.0%
24
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 15.7%
96
Correct Decisions67.3%
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
69
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.313
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.287 to 0.360
RegressionNegative · -0.056
Opposing pitcherCal Quantrill
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)