Mithrandir Metrics
ATL 2026-08-25 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-08-25

Ozzie Albies

ATL · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATL vs LADTyler Glasnow
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 20 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 11.5
F 11.9
V 10.8
Model 18.6% Market 13.2% Gap +4.9pp
FanDuel 630 tracking Open board
Total Bases 2.5
P 39.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 38.1% Market 37.7% Gap +1.6pp
FanDuel 155 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.1%
25 -19 vs proj
Exit velocity87.0
39
Hard-hit%28.7%
14 -15 vs proj
xBA0.272
10
xSLG0.422
21
xwOBA0.283
26 -37 vs proj
BB%7.1%
33
Bat speed67.0
21
K%14.2%
90
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · 2B
65
Arm Strength89.5 · 2B
68
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
28
Range Runs-0.6 · 2B
47
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · 2B
31
Sprint Speed27.1 · 2B
41
SB Success Rate33.3% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.3%
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 15.6%
97
Correct Decisions67.0%
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.287 to 0.360
RegressionNegative · -0.047
Opposing pitcherTyler Glasnow
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)