Mithrandir Metrics
SEA 2026-07-18 Refreshed Sep 3 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Victor Robles

SEA · Hitter · bats R · age 29
IN · 9 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSEA vs SFLogan Webb
Sample2045.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.043, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.046, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 55.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 61.7% Market 63.0% Gap +7.7pp
BetMGM -170 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.5%
16
Exit velocity84.7
14
Hard-hit%22.8%
5
xBA0.275
11
xSLG0.392
10
xwOBA0.266
15 -18 vs proj
BB%4.9%
13
Bat speed64.6
5
K%17.2%
79
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.9 · RF
79
Arm Strength97.3 · RF
84
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
22
Range Runs0.8 · RF
56
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts7.0 · RF
61
SB Success Rate83.3% · RF
57
Sprint Speed28.7 · RF
86
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.9%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.241 to 0.346
RegressionNegative · -0.045
Opposing pitcherLogan Webb
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-03
Palantir 18276 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18276 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12618 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1610 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1106 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8710 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 690 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 910 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.058 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)