Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-09-04 Refreshed Sep 4 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-04

Gleyber Torres

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 30
IN · 9 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CLELogan Allen
Sample4114.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.049, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 50.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 50.9% Market 72.2% Gap +13.4pp
FanDuel 135 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 20.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 20.8% Market -- Gap +7.7pp
FanDuel 250 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
47
Exit velocity86.6
35
Hard-hit%33.7%
28 -27 vs proj
xBA0.321
52
xSLG0.478
42
xwOBA0.326
74
BB%13.4%
93 +24 vs proj
Bat speed66.7
19
K%19.1%
71
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 2B
56
Arm Strength81.6 · 2B
8
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
72
Range Runs-0.5 · 2B
50
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-4.3 · 2B
2
Sprint Speed25.3 · 2B
8
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.2%
93
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1%
71
Correct Decisions71.5%
91
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
93
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.262 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.306 to 0.396
RegressionNegative · -0.032
Opposing pitcherLogan Allen
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-04
Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1629 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1125 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8804 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 922 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)