Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Zach McKinstry

DET · Hitter · bats L · age 31
IN · 8 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CLETanner Bibee
Sample1674.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 12.7
F 13.6
V 13.6
Model 13.0% Market 8.7% Gap +4.0pp
DraftKings 1010 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 51.8
F 67.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V 67.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 51.8% Market 66.9% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 195 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 19.5
F 18.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 19.5% Market -- Gap +0.1pp
FanDuel 410 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
11 -23 vs proj
Exit velocity83.3
7
Hard-hit%22.2%
4 -19 vs proj
xBA0.250
4
xSLG0.348
4
xwOBA0.258
10 -39 vs proj
BB%10.2%
68 +26 vs proj
Bat speed66.9
20
K%18.0%
76 +20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · 2B
3
Arm Strength96.6 · 2B
97
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 2B
80
Range Runs3.1 · 2B
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.4 · 2B
52
SB Success Rate33.3% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.3%
Small sample
Correct Decisions70.0%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.310
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.282 to 0.346
RegressionNegative · -0.045
Opposing pitcherTanner Bibee
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)