Mithrandir Metrics
SD 2026-05-25 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-25

Ramón Laureano

SD · Hitter · bats R · age 32
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSD vs PHIJesús Luzardo
Sample2712.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.1
F 17.9
V 13.5
Model 16.3% Market 14.7% Gap +1.0pp
FanDuel 555 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 59.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 59.8% Market 59.6% Gap +0.6pp
DraftKings -160 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
74
Exit velocity88.8
52
Hard-hit%43.9%
66
xBA0.355
79
xSLG0.634
81
xwOBA0.314
52
BB%9.8%
62 +38 vs proj
Bat speed70.2
59
K%31.9%
9 -24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · LF
59
Arm Strength93.6 · LF
63
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
81
Range Runs0.7 · LF
63
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · LF
84
Sprint Speed27.9 · LF
67
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.6%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 12.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions77.5%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · small sample
small sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257
Small sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.283 to 0.367
RegressionNegative · -0.025
Opposing pitcherJesús Luzardo
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)