Mithrandir Metrics
SD 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Gavin Sheets

SD · Hitter · bats L · age 30
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSD vs BALShane Baz
Sample1983.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 49.3
F 69.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 67.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 49.3% Market 64.9% Gap +2.0pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 15.2
F 17.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 15.2% Market -- Gap +13.7pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
73 +29 vs proj
Exit velocity90.0
70
Hard-hit%48.4%
86 +33 vs proj
xBA0.324
50
xSLG0.566
66
xwOBA0.327
65
BB%9.8%
63 +21 vs proj
Bat speed72.4
84
K%21.7%
51
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 1B
12
Arm Strength90.7 · 1B
82
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
11
Range Runs-2.6 · 1B
16
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · 1B
73
Sprint Speed26.6 · 1B
29
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions60.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.355 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.296 to 0.360
RegressionNegative · -0.046
Opposing pitcherShane Baz
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)