Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Shohei Ohtani

LAD · Hitter
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupLAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez
Sample3937.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 30 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 19.2% Market 28.4% Gap +6.7pp
DraftKings 240 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 58.4
F 57.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 56.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 58.4% Market 56.6% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel -145 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%15.0%
95
Barrel%9.8%
93
Bat speed73.0
89
Exit velocity93.6
96
Hard-hit%52.9%
95
K%23.3%
41
xBA0.401
96
xSLG0.742
95
xwOBA0.406
98
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%8.5%
54 -18 vs proj
Barrel allowed2.8%
95 +34 vs proj
Fastball velo97.4
92
Hard-hit allowed37.2%
63
K%30.8%
93
Whiff%31.2%
92 +15 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.247
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · DH
71
SB Success Rate75.0% · DH
35
Sprint Speed27.3 · DH
50
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.6% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.7% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions68.8% · rebadged research
75
Mithrandir Stuff+106
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
84
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.252 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.318 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.366 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.407 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.012
Opposing pitcherEduardo Rodriguez
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)